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Track Group, Inc. (TRCK)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY25 revenue was $8.67M, down 3.3% year over year; operating income improved to $0.13M on lower monitoring center costs, but a $1.50M FX loss drove GAAP net loss to ($2.01M) and EPS ($0.17) .
- Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA was $1.25M (14.4% margin), up vs Q1 FY24 ($1.06M), but down sequentially vs Q4 FY24 ($1.97M; 20.2% margin) as FX and interest expense weighed on profitability .
- Guidance maintained: FY25 revenue $35–$36M and Adjusted EBITDA margin 14–15%; management cites pipeline and cost discipline after the Chile divestiture .
- Narrative catalysts: domestic gross margin strength (51%), Chile sale completed, FX volatility and rising facility interest rate (5% in FY25) could drive estimate revisions and sentiment near-term .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded to ~51% on lower monitoring center costs; operating income swung to $0.13M from a loss YoY .
- Management completed sale of Chile subsidiary; cash ended at $3.74M, with improved working capital QoQ; CEO: “poised for continued success in fiscal year 2025” .
- Adjusted EBITDA up YoY to $1.25M (14.4% margin) on higher gross profit and lower OpEx vs prior year .
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What Went Wrong
- Revenue declined 3.3% YoY to $8.67M, with lower monitored offender counts at Michigan and Virginia and Chile impact .
- FX swung to a $1.50M loss vs prior year gain, and interest expense rose on the escalator in the Conrent facility, pressuring GAAP earnings .
- Product sales fell 22% YoY to $0.23M on weaker international sales (Brazil), partly offset by Chile device sales post-divestiture .
Financial Results
Non-GAAP KPIs
Segment/Revenue Mix
Geography (Q1 FY25)
Balance Sheet KPIs (Quarter-End)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q1 FY25 earnings call transcript was available; themes reflect 10‑Q and press releases.
Management Commentary
- “The quarter ending December 31, 2024 showed increases in gross profit, operating income and Adjusted EBITDA… poised for continued success in fiscal year 2025.” — CEO Derek Cassell .
- Business outlook reiterated: FY25 revenue $35–36M; Adjusted EBITDA margin 14–15% .
- Revenue declines tied to fewer monitored individuals in Michigan and Virginia and Chile divestiture; offsets from Illinois, Puerto Rico and Bahamas .
Q&A Highlights
No Q1 FY25 earnings call transcript was available to extract Q&A themes (company filed press release and 10‑Q only) .
Estimates Context
S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q1 FY25 were unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limits; therefore, comparison to Street was not possible. Default source for estimates would be S&P Global (Capital IQ), but values could not be retrieved.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Gross margin resilience (51%) and OpEx discipline turned operating income positive despite top-line decline; watch sustainability as FX and interest costs persist .
- Guidance maintained (revenue $35–$36M; EBITDA margin 14–15%), signaling confidence in pipeline and legacy program utilization post-Chile sale .
- FX sensitivity is the primary GAAP earnings swing factor; a normalization could materially improve reported EPS without operational changes .
- Facility interest step-up (5% in FY25, rising thereafter) raises carry costs; deleveraging or refinancing optionality would be a key medium-term catalyst .
- Geographic mix tilted to U.S. (75% of revenue); Latin America share should evolve under partner-led Chile model; monitor Michigan/Virginia volumes vs Illinois/Puerto Rico/Bahamas offsets .
- Non-GAAP EBITDA remains healthy YoY, but sequential margin compression vs Q4 underscores FX/interest headwinds; focus on cash conversion and working capital (AR build QoQ) .
- With no Street comparison available, near-term reactions hinge on margin trajectory, FX prints, and any updates on debt strategy or new contract awards .
Notes:
- All data are from company filings and press releases cited inline. Non-GAAP metrics (Adjusted EBITDA, Non-GAAP EPS) are presented as reported and reconciled in company materials **[1045942_0001437749-25-003117_ex_775316.htm:4]** **[1045942_516b252ad826430692d2c28977df7782_5]** **[1045942_93559552d5cf4109ad19b94b66da318b_5]**.